BTC Price Prediction: Bullish Momentum and Key Factors Influencing BTC’s Price

#BTC

• Technical Strength: BTC is trading above key moving averages and near the upper Bollinger Band, signaling bullish momentum.
• Market Sentiment: News headlines reflect strong institutional interest and a supply squeeze, fueling upward price action.
• Investment Potential: Analysts predict further gains, with targets as high as $200K, supported by dominant market performance.

BTC Price Prediction

BTC Technical Analysis: Bullish Signals Emerge

According to BTCC financial analyst Olivia, Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $117,894.95, showing strong bullish momentum. The 20-day moving average (MA) stands at $109,849.63, indicating a solid support level. The MACD indicator (-3,691.61 | -2,556.51 | -1,135.11) suggests a potential reversal as the histogram narrows. Bollinger Bands show the upper band at $117,622.85, middle at $109,849.63, and lower at $102,076.42, with the price hovering near the upper band, signaling potential upward movement.

Market Sentiment: Bitcoin Rally Defies Expectations

BTCC financial analyst Olivia notes that Bitcoin's rally is defying profit-taking norms, with a supply squeeze looming. News highlights include bitcoin miner executives outperforming peers, ETF analysts calling out gold maximalists, and a $10 billion resurgence in crypto venture capital. Bitwise CEO predicts Bitcoin could reach $200K, while analysts pinpoint risk zones. Bitcoin's dominance over the S&P 500 since 2012 and its 10% rise in July further bolster bullish sentiment.

Factors Influencing BTC’s Price

Bitcoin's Unusual Rally Defies Profit-Taking Norms as Supply Squeeze Looms

Bitcoin's ascent to a record $118,856 has defied historical patterns, with short-term holders resisting profit-taking despite 18% gains. Exchange reserves plummet to unprecedented lows, signaling a potential supply crunch.

CryptoQuant data reveals STHs—typically quick to cash out—are holding firm at a $100,315 cost basis. The SOPR metric confirms suppressed selling pressure, contrasting sharply with previous ATH scenarios where distribution phases followed rallies.

Market structure mirrors early-stage bull cycles, with moderate buying volume sustaining momentum. This disciplined accumulation suggests institutional participation may be outweighing retail FOMO, creating a coiled spring scenario for prices.

Bitcoin Miner Executives Outearn Tech and Energy Peers Amid Shareholder Backlash

CEOs at US-listed Bitcoin mining companies are commanding pay packages that dwarf those in traditional energy and technology sectors. A VanEck study reveals average compensation reached $14.4 million in 2024—more than double 2023's $6.6 million—despite base salaries remaining competitive at $474,000.

The staggering figures stem from equity-heavy compensation structures, with stock-based awards constituting 89% of total pay. While such packages theoretically align management with investors, many miners employ short- to medium-term vesting schedules with minimal performance hurdles, potentially eroding shareholder value through dilution.

Shareholder resistance is mounting. Nearly 99% of executive pay proposals passed during the 2024 proxy season across corporate America, but mining firms face growing scrutiny over compensation practices that outpace even the lavish standards of Silicon Valley and Wall Street.

ETF Analyst Eric Balchunas Calls Out Gold Maxis Amid Bitcoin ATH

Bitcoin's surge to a new all-time high above $118,000 has reignited the debate between crypto advocates and gold traditionalists. ETF analyst Eric Balchunas highlighted the growing tension as bitcoin cements its role in mainstream finance, challenging gold's historical status as the ultimate safe-haven asset.

The discourse escalated when gold enthusiast Debra Robinson dismissed Bitcoin's valuation as "man-made numbers," prompting swift rebuttals from crypto investors. Preston Pysh countered by questioning the auditability of gold-backed ETFs, while macro strategist Lyn Alden proposed a compromise: gold holders could allocate 5% of their portfolio to Bitcoin as a hedge against its rising market share.

Market observers note a lopsided adoption pattern—while many Gold investors now hold Bitcoin, few Bitcoin maximalists diversify into precious metals. This asymmetry reflects Bitcoin's staggering outperformance and the growing conviction among crypto natives that digital assets will redefine 21st-century finance.

Bitcoin Rally Fuels $10 Billion Crypto Venture Capital Resurgence

Venture capital surged back into cryptocurrency markets during Q2 2025, with $10 billion deployed—the highest quarterly total since 2022's peak. The revival coincided with Bitcoin's sustained rally above $100,000, thawing institutional risk appetite after years of caution.

June alone accounted for $5.14 billion of investments, marking the strongest monthly inflow in three years. Major deals included Strive Funds' $750 million Bitcoin strategy fund and TwentyOneCapital's $585 million raise. Infrastructure firms like Securitize ($400 million) and Auradine ($153 million) also secured significant backing.

Coinbase Ventures emerged as the most active investor with 25 deals, outpacing rivals Pantera Capital and Andreessen Horowitz. Paradigm led in lead investments, while Galaxy Digital closed a $175 million fund—exceeding its target. The capital flood signals renewed conviction in crypto's infrastructure buildout phase.

Bitwise CEO Predicts Bitcoin Could Reach $200K Amid Market Surge

Bitcoin's price trajectory dominates market discussions as Bitwise CEO projects a potential rise to $200,000. The cryptocurrency currently trades NEAR $117,000, following a recent all-time high that intensified institutional and retail interest.

Market participants are recalibrating strategies amid heightened volatility. The bullish outlook reflects growing confidence in Bitcoin's store-of-value proposition, though technical indicators suggest potential consolidation before further upward movement.

Bitcoin Bulls Ride High as Analyst Pinpoints Risk Zones

Bitcoin's July surge has defied expectations, catapulting to a record $119,000 amid a market-wide short squeeze. Alphractal's liquidation heatmaps reveal barren terrain for bears—overleveraged positions evaporated as BTC's momentum turned parabolic.

The analytics firm's 7-day and 30-day aggregated liquidation charts show vacuum-like conditions for shorts. This liquidation cascade created ideal conditions for continuation, with no significant resistance clusters until uncharted price territory.

Bitcoin Outshines S&P 500 with Near 100% Dominance Since 2012

Bitcoin's relentless rally continues to dwarf traditional markets. The S&P 500, while posting a 6% gain in dollar terms this year, has plummeted 15% when measured in BTC. This divergence underscores crypto's growing hegemony in global finance.

Since 2012, the staggering 99.98% decline of the S&P 500 in Bitcoin terms reveals a tectonic shift in wealth preservation strategies. "We are all witnessing history," observes The Kobeissi Letter, highlighting how early BTC adopters now command extraordinary premiums over stock investors.

The flagship cryptocurrency breached $118,800 this week, notching 26% year-to-date gains. Such performance increasingly forces institutional reconsideration of what was once dismissed as a speculative asset. US spot Bitcoin ETFs have funneled billions into the market, cementing crypto's transition from fringe to mainstream.

Bitcoin's Next Move Hinges on Key Market Forces as BTC Hits $118K

Bitcoin surged to a record $118,000 amid aggressive buying pressure, with Binance's Net Taker Volume spiking past $200 million for the first time since February 2025. The rally reflects strong spot demand, but derivatives data warns of potential turbulence ahead.

Miners show signs of distribution as the MPI index jumps 153%—a historical caution signal when paired with overheated price action. Meanwhile, the NVT ratio's decline suggests network utility growth may outpace speculative trading, offering fundamental support for the uptrend.

Market structure appears fragile despite bullish momentum. Clustered short liquidations near all-time highs create fuel for both continuation rallies and violent reversals. The coming days will test whether institutional flows can absorb potential miner sell-side pressure.

Bitcoin Price Break Above $118,000 Signals Potential Parabolic Run, Analyst Says

Bitcoin surged nearly 9% in the past week, climbing from $108,300 to $118,800 and breaking through its previous all-time high of $111,970. Technical analyst CryptoCon suggests this rally may be the precursor to a more significant upward trajectory, citing a recurring Fibonacci pattern that has historically aligned with cycle tops.

The 5.618 Fibonacci extension level, referred to as the 'golden number,' has marked previous market peaks, including the $30.84 high in June 2011 and the $1,205 top in November 2013. CryptoCon's analysis implies Bitcoin could be entering another parabolic phase, though market participants remain cautious amid volatile conditions.

Bitcoin’s Record Quarter Met With Silence From Elite Media – Who’s Really Out of Touch?

Mainstream media coverage of Bitcoin in Q2 2025 remained deeply polarized, according to market intelligence firm Bitcoin Perception. Of 1,116 articles analyzed across 18 major outlets, sentiment was 31% positive, 41% neutral, and 28% negative. Elite financial publications notably underreported Bitcoin’s record-breaking performance, with The Wall Street Journal publishing just two articles and The Financial Times and The New York Times each publishing 11.

Forbes, CNBC, and Barron’s dominated coverage, filling the void left by traditional outlets. Forbes published 194 articles, with 43% positive sentiment, particularly highlighting retail and institutional adoption. CNBC’s 141 articles focused on Bitcoin’s role in banking and finance, while Fortune maintained a skeptical tone with 117 pieces.

Bitcoin’s decade-long outperformance and growing corporate treasury allocations failed to sway elite media narratives. The disconnect between market reality and institutional orthodoxy grows starker by the quarter.

Bitcoin Rises 10% in July as Price Holds Above $118K

Bitcoin has surged 10.24% in July 2025, maintaining its position above $118,000 despite market volatility. The cryptocurrency's performance aligns with historical trends, as July has delivered positive returns in 71% of cases over the past 14 years.

Seasonal patterns reveal July as one of Bitcoin's strongest months, with notable gains including 41.03% in 2012 and consistent double-digit growth in subsequent years. Market stability persists even with lower trading volume, reinforcing Bitcoin's resilience.

Historical data shows October outperforms July in reliability, with 77% positive returns. This year's rally follows January's 10.88% gain, though the asset faced corrections in February.

Is BTC a good investment?

Based on current technical and market sentiment analysis, Bitcoin (BTC) appears to be a strong investment. Below is a summary of key data:

Olivia from BTCC highlights bullish technicals and positive news flow, including institutional interest and supply dynamics, as reasons for optimism.